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What Is AGI

AGI is an argument about a definition, not a thing anyone has built and is keeping quiet about. The table below is the five definitions people actually argue from, who wrote each one, and what a system would have to do to satisfy it.

Definition Who and when What it says What would satisfy it What it leaves out
The imitation game Alan Turing, Mind, 1950 If a judge in a text conversation cannot reliably tell the machine from the person, stop asking whether it thinks A judged conversation, with the judge, the duration and the pass rate written down in advance Says nothing about doing anything outside a chat window
Universal intelligence Shane Legg and Marcus Hutter, Minds and Machines, 2007 Intelligence is expected performance across all computable environments, weighted by simplicity A formal score over a distribution of tasks The measure is not computable, so it guides rather than decides
Economically valuable work OpenAI Charter, April 2018 Highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work A list of jobs, a definition of "most", and a measured comparison against people doing them Never fixes the list or the threshold
Skill-acquisition efficiency François Chollet, arXiv:1911.01547, 2019 Intelligence is how efficiently a system turns experience into skill at tasks it has not seen A test of novel tasks with prior knowledge and training exposure controlled, which is what ARC is Deliberately refuses to score skill on its own
Performance × generality Morris et al., Google DeepMind, arXiv:2311.02462, 2023 Two axes: how well, against a human percentile, and over how wide a range of tasks Reaching a named percentile of skilled adults across a broad, agreed task set The task set itself is left to be written

The five disagree about where the difficulty lies, which is why an argument about AGI is usually two people using two of these rows without saying which. Turing moves the question to behaviour and refuses to define thinking. Legg and Hutter give a formal measure and accept that it cannot be computed. The OpenAI charter defines the target by its consequences rather than its capabilities. Chollet argues that scoring skill measures the training data, not the system, and that efficiency at acquiring NEW skill is the only thing worth measuring. DeepMind's paper is the one that makes the question answerable, by splitting it into two axes that can each be measured and then insisting that both be reported. If a conversation about AGI is going nowhere, asking which of these five rows the other person is using usually ends it.

Why there is no single definition

Legg and Hutter collected more than seventy published definitions of intelligence before proposing their own, and the spread was not noise: psychologists, economists and computer scientists were each defining it for their own purpose. The same is true of the G.

"General" is used for at least three different claims, and they are not the same claim:

  • General as in broad. It does many different things. A system that answers physics questions, writes code and reads a chest X-ray is general in this sense, and says nothing about how well it does any of them.
  • General as in transferable. It does something it was never shown. This is Chollet's sense, and the reason ARC's tasks are built to be unlike anything in a training set.
  • General as in autonomous. It decides what to do next without a person in the loop. DeepMind's paper treats this as a separate axis entirely, with six levels of its own, precisely because a highly capable system under tight human control and a moderately capable one running unsupervised are different situations with different risks.

A claim that a system "is AGI" is therefore not one claim. It is a claim about breadth, a claim about transfer, and a claim about autonomy, and it is usually made with evidence for one of the three.

This is the shortest honest route from a claim to a measurement, and it has exactly two questions in it. The first is which task set, because a task set chosen after the results are in can be made to support anything; a fixed, published set with a held-out portion cannot. The second is which human baseline, because "better than a human" is meaningless until the human is specified. DeepMind's 2023 paper does that by percentile of skilled adults, and the three endpoints here are its own three named rungs. A claim that survives both questions is a claim worth checking. A claim that fails the first one is not wrong so much as untestable, which is worse.

The ladder that makes the question answerable

DeepMind's 2023 paper is the most useful thing in this area for a reader who wants to stop arguing and start measuring, because it turns one yes-or-no question into a grid. One axis is performance, as a percentile of skilled adults. The other is generality: narrow, meaning a clearly scoped task, or general, meaning a wide range of non-physical tasks including learning new ones.

Level Performance bar Narrow, as the paper placed it in 2023 General, as the paper placed it in 2023
0 — No AI None A calculator, a compiler Human-in-the-loop work such as Mechanical Turk
1 — Emerging Equal to or somewhat better than an unskilled human Rule-based systems such as SHRDLU Frontier chat models of 2023
2 — Competent At least the 50th percentile of skilled adults Voice assistants, toxicity classifiers Not achieved
3 — Expert At least the 90th percentile Grammar checkers, image generators Not achieved
4 — Virtuoso At least the 99th percentile Deep Blue, AlphaGo Not achieved
5 — Superhuman Better than every human AlphaFold, AlphaZero, Stockfish Not achieved

The column that matters is the right-hand one, and in the paper's own 2023 assessment every cell in it below the first two was empty. That is the whole argument in one table: narrow systems have been at level 5 since AlphaGo, and the general column had not been credited above level 1. The placements are the authors' judgements at the time of writing, not measurements, and they are the part of the table that dates fastest — the LEVELS are the durable contribution, because they say exactly what evidence would move a system up a row. Anyone claiming a system has reached level 2 general is claiming it beats half of skilled adults across a broad task set, which is a measurable claim and should come with the task set attached.

What is measured instead, while the definition is argued about

Because no agreed general task set exists, progress is reported on benchmarks, which are narrow by construction. A benchmark score is evidence about one column of one row of the grid above, and it is routinely quoted as if it were evidence about the whole grid. The specific failure modes — saturation, contamination, mismatched human baselines, compute not being reported — are the subject of the sibling page, AGI benchmarks explained.

One measurement does try to cross the gap. METR's March 2025 report measured the length of task a system can complete rather than the difficulty of a question, using the time a human expert takes as the unit, and reported the length at which a system succeeds half the time. The headline finding was that this horizon had been roughly doubling every seven months. It is worth knowing for two reasons: it measures something a person can picture, and it is an extrapolation from a small number of points across changing task suites, which its own authors say plainly.

Costs, mistakes and failure modes

Moving the goalposts, in both directions. Every capability that arrives stops being called intelligence, which is old enough to have a name in the field. The opposite error is as common: treating any newly passed benchmark as the definition being satisfied. Both are avoided the same way, by naming the definition and the threshold before the result.

Arguing about the word instead of the claim. "Is it AGI" cannot be settled. "Does it beat the 50th percentile of skilled adults on this published task set" can be, and it is usually the question that was actually meant.

Quoting a percentile with no population. "Better than a human" is unfalsifiable. "At least the 90th percentile of skilled adults at this task" is a claim, and it needs the population written down.

Treating a capability claim as a deployment claim. DeepMind's paper separates capability from autonomy for this reason. A system that COULD do a job and a system that is DOING it unsupervised are different facts, and the risks attached to each are different.

Key Takeaways

  • There is no single definition of AGI. The five in the table above are the ones people argue from; Legg and Hutter counted more than seventy definitions of intelligence alone before adding theirs in 2007.
  • "General" carries three separate claims — broad, transferable, autonomous — and evidence for one is usually offered for all three.
  • DeepMind's 2023 grid is the most testable framing available: performance as a percentile of skilled adults (50th, 90th, 99th), crossed with narrow or general.
  • By the paper's own 2023 placement, narrow systems had reached level 5 and the general column was credited no higher than level 1.
  • The Turing test is from 1950 and specifies no duration, no judge and no pass rate; every version that has been run added its own.
  • METR's March 2025 report measured task LENGTH rather than question difficulty and found the 50-per-cent horizon roughly doubling every seven months — an extrapolation its authors label as one.
  • A claim worth checking names the task set before the result and the human baseline as a percentile. A claim that does neither is not testable.
Back to the guide

Common questions

Has any system passed the Turing test?

The question is not well formed, because Turing specified no judge, no duration and no pass rate. His 1950 paper described an imitation game and guessed that by the year 2000 an average interrogator would have no more than a 70 per cent chance of identifying the machine after five minutes. Every run since has had to invent its own rules, which is why the answer depends entirely on whose version is being scored.

What is the difference between AGI and superintelligence?

In DeepMind s 2023 grid they are two different rows. General AGI at the Competent level means at least the 50th percentile of skilled adults across a broad task set; Superhuman means better than every human at everything in it. Narrow superhuman systems already exist — AlphaFold and Stockfish are in the paper as examples — and narrow says nothing about the general column.

Why do people disagree about whether current systems are AGI?

Because they are using different rows of the definitions table. Under the OpenAI charter s wording the question is about economically valuable work and nobody has fixed the job list or the threshold. Under Chollet s definition the question is about acquiring skill at genuinely novel tasks, which is measured by ARC and is a much harder bar. Both people can be arguing correctly from different definitions.

Is there a date by which AGI is expected?

This page reports what is measured, and a forecast is not a measurement. Published surveys of researchers exist and their medians have moved by decades between survey rounds, which is itself the useful fact about them. The measurable question is which rung of which grid a system occupies today, against a task set fixed before the result.

Is passing a benchmark the same as having the capability?

No, and the gap has a shape worth knowing. A benchmark score is one number over one fixed task set; it is vulnerable to the test data having leaked into training, to being saturated so that everything scores near the ceiling, and to being run under a compute budget nobody reports. The sibling page on AGI benchmarks works through each of those.